Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 1026.218931 1161.452554 1311.104552 1489.562475 1697.310298 1932.395965 2219.783576
2025-09-07 827.840435 1009.785058 1229.815783 1517.950269 1888.922673 2355.387260 2994.119124
2025-09-14 690.359374 883.065952 1129.774667 1473.351177 1946.749276 2586.980933 3537.336871
2025-09-21 594.757443 789.317949 1049.741874 1430.598252 1984.950532 2781.052570 4045.960502
2025-09-28 519.735981 710.872153 976.278714 1380.614857 1997.154228 2929.547262 4502.162931
2025-10-05 488.203567 687.682799 974.838923 1430.445949 2158.466241 3319.195470 5402.453270
2025-10-12 454.722828 657.059358 957.620900 1451.880819 2275.367398 3652.634328 6270.194789
2025-10-19 423.615641 626.191884 935.705624 1461.469802 2371.636696 3962.988699 7155.330373
2025-10-26 396.370047 598.227574 914.726785 1468.773805 2462.931235 4275.883669 8107.040887
2025-11-02 379.140294 584.154892 914.004515 1509.162363 2616.736407 4725.904159 9432.042260
2025-11-09 361.300978 567.251774 906.536231 1536.087221 2748.230150 5152.925599 10805.799128
2025-11-16 343.445507 548.619097 894.069770 1551.940942 2859.685772 5556.641538 12222.936403
2025-11-23 325.528441 528.875720 878.666760 1562.181125 2964.943604 5973.494882 13802.893777
2025-11-30 311.900814 515.467164 873.321109 1591.222872 3113.789249 6515.401405 15863.295497
2025-12-07 288.996117 483.775397 831.826361 1544.121651 3093.226787 6664.974807 16908.099911
2025-12-14 268.609857 455.069934 793.401984 1498.946625 3070.404495 6804.735989 17966.116888
2025-12-21 249.155903 426.688958 753.310243 1446.149847 3023.279255 6876.676484 18845.859453
2025-12-28 244.014565 424.381688 762.870766 1498.785768 3227.876908 7628.498853 22103.672011
2026-01-04 235.743903 415.526679 758.805927 1521.432677 3364.193384 8228.340388 25083.030704
2026-01-11 226.722733 404.565320 749.586999 1531.564932 3471.100786 8769.621699 28065.779103
2026-01-18 218.103108 393.769978 739.797115 1539.283188 3573.073245 9318.898493 31302.363146
2026-01-25 213.402978 390.351548 744.890050 1581.969176 3773.400623 10207.475216 36278.196666
2026-02-01 207.624856 384.354471 744.038280 1610.431878 3940.070977 11032.177610 41390.570221